Earnings season came to an end last week with Wal-Mart’s (WMT) report last Thursday.  Below is a look at the final top and bottom line beat rates for U.S. stocks that reported numbers this quarter.  The first chart shows the percentage of companies that beat consensus analyst earnings estimates while the second shows the percentage that beat consensus analyst revenue estimates.

As shown, the earnings beat rate ended at 63%, which is actually the highest reading seen in five years going back to Q4 2010!  At 52%, the top-line revenue beat rate was significantly lower than the bottom-line earnings beat rate.  The positive take away from the revenue beat rate is that it was stronger than the prior quarter’s reading of just 47% and near the high end of the range from the prior three quarters

Below is a distribution chart of every single company that reported earnings this season.  The vertical y-axis shows the average one-day price change (%) that the stock experienced in reaction to its earnings report.  We’ve segmented the stocks by earnings beats and misses (and inline reports as well).  The average one-day price change for companies that beat estimates was +1.90%, but companies that missed estimates fell an average of 3.7% on their report days.  More notable is that companies that reported inline numbers fell an average of 0.73% on their report days.  This shows why companies are under such pressure to “beat the number”, or report stronger than expected earnings.  These day, simply meeting expectations is usually met with falling share prices.

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Economists were expecting a +0.4% QoQ SAAR GDP reading for Q4 2015 on the second reading from the BEA this morning, but growth came in much higher at +1.0% QoQ SAAR.  However, the most important categories (in our view), Consumption and Fixed Investment, were both revised downward slightly. Less goods consumption and a slightly slower rate of residential fixed investment weighed, with goods contributing the most.  The upward revision to the headline was instead driven by less negative contribution from inventories.  Growth in stockpiles of goods reduced GDP by 14 bps QoQ SAAR, versus a -45 bps SAAR impact on the initial release.  Also contributing to higher growth was slower imports, which makes sense if goods consumption was lower.  Finally, government spending was revised down with Federal outlays contributing +15 bps SAAR versus +18 bps SAAR on the initial release.  Local government spending was revised dramatically lower, to -16 bps contribution; that’s the weakest since the recession.  This is extremely surprising and in our view unlikely to continue given strong employment, real estate prices, and steady balance sheet repair across that spectrum of government.

Overall, while it’s nice to see growth revised up, it was revised up for the wrong reasons.  The brutal contraction in state and local spending is also painful.  We’ll have more on this in our weekly Bespoke Report tonight; sign up for any of our research offerings to view the report when it’s sent out this evening.

Bespoke’s Paul Hickey appeared on CNBC’s Fast Money on Thursday afternoon to discuss the recent higher high made in the number of stocks trading at overbought levels and what it means for the short-term direction of the market.  To view the segment, click on the image below.

Yesterday morning we published a post titled US Equity ETFs Attempting to Move Back Above 50-DMAs.  In the post we highlighted our trading range screen of equity index and style ETFs, which we have updated below.  Prior to yesterday’s open, nearly all of the ETFs shown were trading just below their 50-days and needed just a little boost to break back above them.  As you can see in the updated screen below, nearly all of them did indeed break above their 50-days by the close yesterday.

In our weekly Sector Snapshot available to Bespoke Premium and Bespoke Institutional members, we provide a number of charts covering sector technicals, internals, relative strength and valuations.  Below is data taken from this week’s Sector Snapshot published today showing the percentage of stocks in each sector trading above their 50-day moving averages.  For the entire S&P 500, this reading has moved back above 50% — up to 54.6% today.  That’s a healthy reading that we haven’t seen yet in 2016.

Six of ten sectors have readings even stronger than the 54.6% mark for the broad S&P 500.  Utilities ranks at the top at 100%, followed by Consumer Staples and Telecom, but then you get to Industrials, Materials and Consumer Discretionary.  Those last three are all cyclical in nature, and they’ve been market leaders over the last couple of weeks.

Notably, the four sectors with weaker-than-market readings are all cyclical in nature as well, and Financials rank worst with just 31.8% of stocks above their 50-days.  Energy and Health Care are both in the 30s as well.

While the bounce for the market off of its lows has been a positive, for it to have any staying power, it’s going to need these four cyclical sectors to participate even more than they have been.